In the realm of Victorian politics, a storm is brewing, and the winds of change are howling. The Labor government, once a stalwart of the political landscape, now finds itself in a precarious position, with its own supporters questioning its future. The question on everyone's lips is: is the end of the Allan government nigh? The latest Resolve Political Monitor survey paints a picture of a state yearning for political upheaval, with a significant portion of voters ready to embrace a new era. The numbers are stark: only one in four voters believe Labor deserves another term, while nearly half the electorate declares the two-party system a thing of the past. This shift in sentiment is not merely a blip but a trend, with One Nation rising as a formidable force, threatening to upend the established order. The party, led by the enigmatic Pauline Hanson, is on track to become the most popular political party in Victoria, a state once considered politically progressive. The implications are profound, as Labor's electoral outlook remains dire, and the Coalition struggles to maintain its footing. The survey reveals a complex dynamic, with Labor's primary support fluctuating, influenced by both cost-of-living relief measures and leadership speculation. The rise of One Nation is particularly intriguing, with its support surging to 28%, the strongest for any party. This trend raises a deeper question: is the two-party system truly over? The survey's results suggest a clear mood for a change in government, echoing the sentiment that accompanied the final term of the last long-serving Labor government in NSW. The question of leadership is also at the forefront, with Premier Jacinta Allan facing renewed speculation ahead of a caucus meeting. Her supporters point to the self-fulfilling nature of destabilization campaigns, while detractors see it as evidence of a leadership in decline. The Coalition's primary support has also fallen, adding to the sense of political flux. The implications for Premier Allan are significant, as she navigates a leadership challenge and a changing political landscape. The survey's findings suggest that Allan's approval rating is entrenched, slipping back to minus 35, where it was at the start of the year. The opposition leader, Jess Wilson, is broadly liked by voters, with a positive approval rating of 15, albeit a worse result than the previous survey. The battle for Bendigo East, Allan's seat, is fierce, with the Nationals and One Nation challenging her. The survey also reveals a surprising finding: a significant portion of Labor voters no longer believe the government should be re-elected, with 31% disagreeing. This anti-government sentiment is mirrored among One Nation voters, with only 4% agreeing that Labor deserves another four years. The flipside of this question, whether the opposition is capable of governing, produced an encouraging response for the Liberal and National coalition, with 46% agreeing. The survey's implications are far-reaching, suggesting that the end of the two-party system may be nigh. As Victoria heads towards a volatile and unpredictable state election on November 28, the question remains: who will emerge as the victor in this political upheaval? The future of Victorian politics hangs in the balance, and the survey's findings offer a glimpse into the storm that is yet to come.
